Central London office investment transactions totalled £5bn in Q4 2018, bringing the year-end total to £17.6bn, a 10% rise from 2017 and the highest level since 2014, according to the latest data from CBRE.
The final quarter of 2018 saw a 16% quarterly rise in investment volumes compared to the previous quarter and a 69% year-on-year increase.
Overseas investors represented the dominant share of the market in 2018, constituting 76% of all investment volumes. However, this represents a fall from 81% of the market in 2017. Once again, Asian investors were the most active investing £7.3bn and accounted for 57% of total overseas investment in 2018. Domestic investors were more active, particularly in the fourth quarter, with their investment level reaching the highest level since 2013 for the quarter and the highest for the year since 2015.
Over the course of the year, five deals above £500m in value closed, including the £1bn sale of 5 Broadgate to CK Asset Holdings and the £1.3bn sale of leaseback of Goldman Sachs’ new European HQ.
While none of these ‘big-ticket’ deals completed in the final quarter of 2018, Q4 was the most active of the year in terms of number of deals transacted. A total of 65 deals completed in the final quarter of 2018, highlighting the persistent demand for assets in Europe’s principal gateway city. The largest investment transaction in Q4 2018 was the £400m+ sale of 30 Gresham Street to Wing Tai and Manhattan Group from Samsung.
James Beckham, Head of Central London Investment, CBRE, explained:
“London has shown its resilience in the face of uncertainty and persistent noise around Brexit. We are seeing consistent levels of liquidity in the London market and greater diversification of capital from across Asia, a trend we expect to continue in 2019. The UK REITs also became more active again in the final quarter. We are anticipating overall investment volumes to be slightly lower in 2019 but there is still strong demand at both ends of the risk spectrum; overseas investors’ appetite for best in class assets is unwavering whilst UK funds are seeking value-add opportunities in order to capture enhanced returns.”
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